Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007964 0.008933 0.009995 0.011248 0.012690 0.014303 0.016251
2025-04-20 0.006368 0.007658 0.009191 0.011164 0.013655 0.016724 0.020833
2025-04-27 0.005675 0.007148 0.009001 0.011530 0.014940 0.019445 0.025959
2025-05-04 0.005056 0.006602 0.008632 0.011538 0.015669 0.021448 0.030363
2025-05-11 0.004611 0.006207 0.008383 0.011630 0.016463 0.023582 0.035228
2025-05-18 0.004189 0.005788 0.008036 0.011510 0.016896 0.025196 0.039510
2025-05-25 0.003901 0.005520 0.007864 0.011610 0.017644 0.027358 0.044996
2025-06-01 0.003604 0.005207 0.007589 0.011507 0.018039 0.028976 0.049792
2025-06-08 0.003281 0.004823 0.007166 0.011116 0.017900 0.029653 0.052970
2025-06-15 0.003093 0.004631 0.007020 0.011155 0.018482 0.031645 0.058965
2025-06-22 0.003003 0.004582 0.007093 0.011563 0.019749 0.035048 0.068397
2025-06-29 0.002795 0.004327 0.006806 0.011316 0.019789 0.036118 0.073128
2025-07-06 0.002587 0.004064 0.006500 0.011031 0.019776 0.037187 0.078328
2025-07-13 0.002436 0.003887 0.006330 0.010978 0.020217 0.039274 0.086415
2025-07-20 0.002366 0.003841 0.006378 0.011335 0.021514 0.043367 0.100348
2025-07-27 0.002249 0.003704 0.006252 0.011343 0.022089 0.045967 0.111150
2025-08-03 0.002154 0.003598 0.006173 0.011433 0.022847 0.049106 0.124248
2025-08-10 0.002040 0.003449 0.006001 0.011315 0.023130 0.051161 0.134823
2025-08-17 0.001962 0.003361 0.005938 0.011413 0.023912 0.054576 0.150468
2025-08-24 0.001867 0.003234 0.005788 0.011313 0.024217 0.056830 0.163154
2025-08-31 0.001746 0.003052 0.005518 0.010930 0.023802 0.057114 0.169433
2025-09-07 0.001681 0.002971 0.005444 0.010968 0.024420 0.060323 0.186858
2025-09-14 0.001659 0.002970 0.005528 0.011368 0.025999 0.066545 0.217500